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Letter "J" » John Lonski Quotes
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«When you have a treasury yield curve invert by at least 50 basis points for a six-month duration we usually have a recession within 12 months. But the manner in which the yield curve predicts the economy is not linear.»
Author: John Lonski
«We also had an outright inversion in 1998 and there was no recession until 2001, although I would add there was a deterioration in corporate financial health that got underway in 1998 that didn't really end until 2002.»
Author: John Lonski
«The year-over-year gain of 1.7 percent reinforces the sense that the current series of Fed rate hikes is nearly finished.»
Author: John Lonski
«The underlying theme (in the Fed's statement) is the same but the Fed added the statement on the potential for higher inflation risks in order to reassure global investors that the Fed very much remains committed to pursuing price stability,»
Author: John Lonski
«It just hasn't happened, and it probably won't happen simply by changing corporate tax legislation, ... The truth is that job creation in this economic recovery is well below the levels of previous cycles, with or without the repatriated funds.»
Author: John Lonski
«This could mark a turning point, ... After all, the Fed was right, the latest slowdown was temporary and the economy is about to gain speed going into the second half of 2005, which would imply that more rate hikes lie ahead.»
Author: John Lonski
«The big surprise here is that even if we take out auto dealership and gasoline station sales, we're still up by one percent, ... This is a summary of consumer spending that is replete with unexpected vigor.»
Author: John Lonski
«The fact that oil is remaining above $40 leaves me all the more convinced that core CPI will continue to climb higher, that we're on the verge of having the annual rate break above 2 percent,»
Author: John Lonski
«The decline by the PPI overall and the dip by the core PPI is very much consistent with the general absence of inflation risks,»
Author: John Lonski
«The dip by the core PPI brings attention to how inflation is not an issue in the credit market and it's the least of the Federal Reserve's worries,»
Author: John Lonski
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